Research

Working Papers

Gieczewski, Germán. “Noisy Screening and Brinkmanship.” n. pag. Print.

I study a repeated bilateral relationship subject to termination. One player, the proposer, offers a transfer in each period. The receiver can accept and continue the relationship, or quit and take an outside option whose value is private information. Unlike in Coasian bargaining, remaining types are those from whom more can be extracted, potentially inviting ratcheting. Tirole (2016) shows that, if the receiver’s type is persistent, there is actually no ratcheting. I show that, if the receiver’s incentives to accept are affected even by small, transient shocks that the proposer cannot perfectly observe, then offers may worsen over time, until the receiver inevitably quits. The reason is that a small escalation causes exit only if the receiver’s type is marginal and the shock is unfavorable. Major escalations may alternate with periods of slow ratcheting. Exit may be inevitable even if the proposer has commitment power. Applications include crisis bargaining in international relations and surplus extraction from an employee.

Submitted

Gieczewski, Germán, and Maria Titova. “Coalition-Proof Disclosure.” n. pag. Print.
Gieczewski, Germán. “Evolving Wars of Attrition.” n. pag. Print.

Forthcoming

Gieczewski, Germán, and Korhan Kocak. “Collective Procrastination and Protest Cycles.” American Journal of Political Science n. pag.

2024

Gieczewski, Germán, and Christopher Li. “Incumbent Performance and Electoral Control: A Comment.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 19.3 (2024): 331–353.
Gieczewski, Germán, and Svetlana Kosterina. “Experimentation in Endogenous Organizations.” Review of Economic Studies 91.3 (2024): 1711–1745.

2022

Gieczewski, Germán Sergio, and Christopher Li. “Dynamic Policy Sabotage.” American Journal of Political Science 66.3 (2022): 617–629.
Gieczewski, Germán. “Term Limits and Bargaining Power in Electoral Competition.” American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 14.3 (2022): 1–34.
Gieczewski, Germán. “Verifiable Communication on Networks.” Journal of Economic Theory 204 (2022): 105494.

2021

Gieczewski, Germán. “Policy Persistence and Drift in Organizations.” Econometrica 89.1 (2021): 251–279.

Contact

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